No streak lasts forever
June 20, 2017
Just when you think you have a handle on Western Nevada weather, it turns right around on you.
You couldn't turn on a television or pick up a newspaper over the past three months without hearing about how bad the spring flooding was going to be.
But with most of the snow already gone from the lower elevations of the Sierra, and a coolish spring, there is a reduced chance of a real spring thaw.
Both the East and West forks of the Carson River crested on Cinco de Mayo at just a couple of inches over flood stage.
There's still more than a foot of snow at the top of Carson Pass and 2 feet to melt at Ebbetts Pass, but with spring wrapping up on Tuesday we don't see much chance of a sudden rush of water coming down the mountain.
The water year has been nothing short of remarkable, and saw the second wettest October, third wettest January and the fourth wettest February in Minden since 1906. As of today, Minden has seen the fifth wettest calendar year, when records started being kept 111 years ago.
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That precipitation essentially erased five years of drought before it was halfway through.
While we have no way of knowing whether next year will be a wet one, or if the drought will be back, like any gambler on a streak, we know that nothing lasts forever.