Split result could spell power shift
November 13, 2012
It’s entirely possible that by 2016, Clark County will be able to sway a statewide election for a Democrat regardless what the rest of the state does.
Last week’s split election results showed a fine line between the success of President Obama and the failure of Senate candidate Shelly Berkley.
Berkley came within 12,000 votes of defeating Sen. Dean Heller by winning only Clark County.
There was a time in Nevada when a politician had to have a majority in at least Clark and Washoe counties to win the state.
It’s long been true that if every Nevada voter outside of those two counties moved south, they wouldn’t add up to much of a suburb of Las Vegas.
But an overwhelming Republican majority in the “cow counties” and the reality that minor party members tend to lean toward that side of the political spectrum have always balanced out that Clark County majority.
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There were only three Democrats on Douglas County’s ballot, including the president, Berkley and longshot for Congress Sam Koepnick. Berkley polled 6,947, which was only 43 more votes than Koepnick won. The president actually received 244 more votes than there are active Democrats in the county, with 9,288.
The pundits say this election was all about demographics, but in Nevada we have a little bit of geography going for us still.
But looking at the trends, those days may not last much longer.